Strategic studies in the oil and energy industry
مطالعات راهبردي در صنعت نفت و انرژي
Strategic Studies in Petroleum and energy Industry
http://iieshrm.ir
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طراحی الگوی آیندهنگاری منابع انسانی در صنعت نفت با تأکید بر قابلیتهای پویا
Designing a model of human resources foresight in the oil industry with emphasis on dynamic capabilities
مديريت
Management
پژوهشي
Research
<span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:94%"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">هدف</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">پژوهش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> حاضر</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">طراحی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> الگوی</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">آیندهنگاری</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">منابع</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> انسانی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> در</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> صنعت</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">نفت</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> با</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> رویکرد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> قابلیتهای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پویا</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> است.</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">این</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پژوهش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> از</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> حیث</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> هدف</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> جزو</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> تحقیقات</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> اکتشافی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">روش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> اجرای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> کار</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> به</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> صورت</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> کیفی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> است.</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> برای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> گردآوری</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">دادهها</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> از</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> مصاحبههای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> عمیق</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نیمهساختاریافته</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> استفاده</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> شده</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> برای</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">تجزیه</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">تحلیل</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">از</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> راهبرد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پژوهشی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> داده</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">بنیاد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> با</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> رهیافت</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نظاممند</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> کد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">گذاری</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> باز،</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> محوری</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> انتخابی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> استفاده</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> شد.</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> جامعۀ</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> آماری</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پژوهش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> با</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> توجه</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> به</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> اشباع</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نظری</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> دادهها</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> 15</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نفر</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> از</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">مدیران</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> معاونان</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> رؤسای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> گروههای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> منابع</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> انسانی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> شرکت</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> ملی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نفت</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> ایران</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> بودند.</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">برای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> سنجش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پایایی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> مصاحبههای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> انجام</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">شده،</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> از</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> روش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پایایی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> بین</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> دو</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> کدگذار</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">و</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">برای</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> اطمینان</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> از</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> روایی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پژوهش،</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> روش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> تطبیق</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> از سوی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> اعضا</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> به</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> کار</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> گرفته</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">شد.</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نتایج</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پژوهش</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> نشاندهندۀ</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> استخراج</span> <span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:">114 کد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> باز، 41 </span><span b="" lang="FA" lotus="" style="font-family:">کد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> محوری</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> و 23</span> <span b="" lang="FA" lotus="" style="font-family:">کد</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> انتخابی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> در</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> قالب</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> الگوی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> پارادایمی</span><span b="" lang="AR-SA" lotus="" style="font-family:"> است.</span></span></span></span></span></span><br>
<span style="font-size:11pt"><span style="line-height:normal"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span new="" roman="" style="font-family:" times=""><span style="color:black">The purpose of this research is designing a model of human resources foresight in the oil industry with a dynamic capabilities approach. This research from the perspective of purpose is part of exploratory research and the method of performing the work qualitatively. Semi-structured in-depth interviews were used to collect data and the research strategy of the grounded theory with a systematic approach and open, pivotal and selective coding was used for analysis. The statistical population of the study, according to the theoretical saturation of the data, was 15 managers, deputies and heads of human resources groups of the National Iranian Oil Company. To measure the reliability of the interviews, the reliability method was used between the two coders and to ensure the validity of the research, the matching method was used by the members. The research results show the extraction of 114 open codes, 41 axial codes and 23 selected codes in the form of a paradigm model.</span></span></span></span></span><br>
آیندهنگاری منابع انسانی, قابلیتهای پویا, صنعت نفت
Human resource foresight , dynamic capabilities, oil industry.
81
100
http://iieshrm.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-1018-41&slc_lang=fa&sid=1
Ahmad
Asadi
احمد
اسدی
asadi.ahmad2025@gmail.com
100319475328460010563
100319475328460010563
Yes
PhD Student in Public Administration, Faculty of Management and Economics, Science and Research Branch , Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت دولتی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
Mojtaba
Rajabbeigi
مجتبی
رجببیگی
Rajabbaigy@gmail.com
100319475328460010564
100319475328460010564
No
Associate Professor of Department of Public Management, research center for Strategic Technology Studies, Institute of International Energy Studies, Tehran, Iran
دانشیار گروه مدیریت دولتی، پژوهشکده مطالعات راهبردی و فناوری، مؤسسه مطالعات بینالمللی انرژی، تهران، ایران
Kaveh
Teimoornejad
کاوه
تیمورنژاد
kav.teimoornejad@iauctb.ac.ir
100319475328460010565
100319475328460010565
No
Assistant Professor of Department of Public Management, Faculty of Management, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
استادیار گروه مدیریت دولتی، دانشکده مدیریت، واحد تهران مرکز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران